Compare two job offers on the factors that will actually matter in year two

I have two job offers and need a real comparison — not just base salary side by side, since I know that's not actually the full picture and I don't want to make this decision on the one number that's easiest to compare.

OFFER A
Base $145k, 10% target bonus (historically paid ~80%), no equity, hybrid 3 days/week, established company, standard promotion cycle every 2 years.

OFFER B
Base $130k, no bonus, 0.15% equity over 4-year vest (Series B, last valuation $400M), fully remote, faster-moving team, no formal promotion cycle yet.

WHAT ACTUALLY MATTERS MOST TO ME RIGHT NOW
In order: remote flexibility, long-term earning potential, day-to-day work variety. Least important: brand name recognition.

PHASE 1 — NORMALIZE THE COMPENSATION
Calculate a genuinely comparable total-compensation figure for each offer, accounting for base, bonus target (state clearly if it's not guaranteed), equity (state the assumptions you're making about vesting and valuation, and flag that startup equity is a real-terms unknown, not a number to treat as cash-equivalent), and any other named compensation component. Show the math, not just the final number, so I can sanity-check your assumptions.

PHASE 2 — SCORE THE NON-COMP FACTORS
Against the priority factors I listed, score each offer honestly — if one offer is clearly stronger on a factor I said matters most, say so directly rather than finding a way to make both offers sound equally good out of diplomacy.

PHASE 3 — PROJECT TWO YEARS OUT, NOT JUST YEAR ONE
For each offer, note anything in the details that would change the picture by year two — a defined promotion path, a compensation structure that's front-loaded or back-loaded, a role with limited growth ceiling regardless of the starting numbers. A decision based only on year-one numbers can look different once a longer trajectory is considered.

OUTPUT FORMAT
1. A compensation comparison table with the math shown.
2. A priority-factor scoring table (factor, Offer A, Offer B, which is stronger).
3. A short year-two outlook paragraph per offer.
4. A direct recommendation given everything above, stated as a recommendation with reasoning, not a noncommittal "it depends."