china-portfolio-monitoring
Track and report on A-share portfolio company performance for China-focused private equity funds. Monitors KPIs, financials, and strategic milestones. Adapted from the original portfolio-monitoring skill for Chinese portfolio companies. Triggers on "A股投后管理", "基金投后监控", "portfolio monitoring China", "monitor portfolio company", "投后报告", or "portfolio company review".
Works with
--- name: china-portfolio-monitoring description: Track and report on A-share portfolio company performance for China-focused private equity funds. Monitors KPIs, financials, and strategic milestones. Adapted from the original portfolio-monitoring skill for Chinese portfolio companies. Triggers on "A股投后管理", "基金投后监控", "portfolio monitoring China", "monitor portfolio company", "投后报告", or "portfolio company review". license: Apache-2.0 --- # china-portfolio-monitoring ## Purpose Monitor **A股及中国市场投资组合公司表现** — financial performance, operational KPIs, strategic milestones, and risk indicators. ## Data Sources ### Primary: iFind MCP (Tier-1 付费) / AkShare MCP (Tier-2 免费备选) ```python get_quote(ticker) → Stock performance get_historical_data(ticker) → Price trend get_financials(ticker, "income") → Revenue, profit get_financials(ticker, "balance") → Balance sheet health get_financials(ticker, "cashflow") → Cash generation get_stock_info(ticker) → Company updates ``` ### Secondary Sources - 巨潮公告 — material announcements - 业绩说明会 — management updates - Wind / Choice — ownership, institutional data - 券商研报 — analyst updates ## Workflow ### Step 1: Define KPIs by Company **Financial KPIs (standard):** | KPI | Frequency | Target / Benchmark | |-----|-----------|-------------------| | Revenue growth (YoY) | Quarterly | >XX% | | Gross margin | Quarterly | >XX% | | Net margin | Quarterly | >XX% | | EBITDA | Quarterly | Growing | | Net debt/EBITDA | Quarterly | <Xx | | FCF | Quarterly | Positive | | ROE | Quarterly / Annual | >XX% | **Operational KPIs (company-specific):** | Sector | Key KPIs | |--------|---------| | 白酒 | 批价, 动销, 渠道库存, 回款 | | 半导体 | 产能利用率, 出货量, 良率 | | 新能源 | 装机量, 产能利用率, 技术参数 | | 医药 | 研发进度, 临床数据, 集采中标 | | 消费 | 门店数量, 同店增速, 库存周转 | | SaaS/科技 | ARR, 客户数, NRR, churn | ### Step 2: Financial Monitoring **Quarterly review template:** ``` 【投后监控】[Company] [Q20XX] 回顾 一、财务表现 营业收入: [XX亿] (YoY: [X%]) [vs plan: +/-X%] 毛利率: [XX%] (vs plan: +/-X bps) 净利润: [XX亿] (YoY: [X%]) [vs plan: +/-X%] EBITDA: [XX亿] (Margin: [XX%]) 经营现金流: [XX亿] 资本支出: [XX亿] 自由现金流: [XX亿] 二、资产负债表 现金余额: [XX亿] 有息负债: [XX亿] 净债务: [XX亿] 净资产: [XX亿] 商誉: [XX亿] (% of equity: [XX%]) 三、估值跟踪 Current price: [¥XX.XX] Market cap: [XX亿] PE (TTM): [Xx] vs Entry valuation: [Premium/Discount X%] vs Sector median: [Premium/Discount X%] 四、关键运营指标 [Sector-specific KPIs with trends] 五、重大事项 [Announcements, management changes, M&A, etc.] 六、风险预警 [Risk flags, concerns] 七、下一步 [Actions, meetings, reviews] ``` ### Step 3: Strategic Milestones **Milestone tracking:** | Milestone | Target Date | Status | Notes | |-----------|-------------|--------|-------| | e.g., New product launch | Q2 2025 | On track | | | e.g., Capacity expansion | Q3 2025 | Delayed | 1 quarter | | e.g., Management hire | Q1 2025 | Complete | | | e.g., IPO filing | Q4 2025 | In progress | | ### Step 4: Value Creation Tracking **Value creation levers:** | Lever | Status | Impact | |-------|--------|--------| | Revenue growth acceleration | | | | Margin expansion | | | | M&A consolidation | | | | International expansion | | | | Digital transformation | | | | Management upgrade | | | ### Step 5: Risk Monitoring **Red flag indicators:** | Risk | Indicator | Threshold | Action | |------|-----------|-----------|--------| | 经营现金流 | Operating CF | Consecutive quarters negative | Escalate | | 毛利率 | Gross margin | Decline >500 bps | Review | | 有息负债 | Net debt/EBITDA | >4.0x | Review | | 应收账款 | AR days | >120 days | Review | | 存货 | Inventory days | >90 days | Review | | 股价 | Share price | -30% from entry | Review | | 解禁 | Lock-up expiry | <3 months | Monitor | | 质押 | Pledge ratio | >50% | Flag | ### Step 6: Reporting **Monthly / Quarterly report structure:** ``` 【投后月度/季度报告】[Company] 一、期间概要 [Executive summary of period] 二、财务更新 [Financial KPI table with trends] 三、运营更新 [Operational KPIs, milestones] 四、估值更新 [Current valuation, mark-to-market] 五、风险与问题 [Risk flags, mitigation status] 六、下一步行动 [Board meeting, management call, DD items] ``` ## China-Specific Monitoring Considerations ### Market Context | Factor | Monitoring Implication | |--------|----------------------| | 涨跌停 | Price movement constraints | | 北向资金 | Foreign flow trends | | 龙虎榜 | Unusual trading activity | | 政策变化 | Regulatory impact on business | | 行业景气 | Sector cyclical position | ### Common Issues in A-share Portfolio Companies | Issue | Warning Signs | Response | |-------|--------------|----------| | 商誉减值 | Goodwill >30% of equity | Impairment testing | | 应收账款积压 | AR growth > revenue growth | Collections push | | 存货积压 | Inventory days rising | Discounting, write-downs | | 经营现金流差 | CF < Net income repeatedly | Working capital review | | 大股东质押 | Pledge ratio rising | Engagement, covenant | | 关联交易 | Related party revenue high | Monitor for leakage | | 退市风险 | *ST designation, losses | Exit planning | ### Value Creation Levers (China-specific) | Lever | Description | Typical Impact | |-------|-------------|----------------| | 精益管理 | Operational efficiency | 10-20% margin improvement | | 渠道优化 | Distribution optimization | 15-30% revenue uplift | | 数字化转型 | Digital transformation | 20-40% efficiency gain | | 并购整合 | Add-on acquisitions | 20-50% value creation | | 国际化 | Overseas expansion | New growth vectors | | 股权激励 | ESOP implementation | Management alignment | | 品牌建设 | Brand investment | Pricing power | ## Quality Checks Before delivering report: - [ ] All financial data sourced and current - [ ] KPIs tracked against targets - [ ] Milestones updated - [ ] Valuation current - [ ] Risk flags addressed - [ ] Action items clear > **Data Source Mode Switch**: Set env var `IFIND_DATA_SOURCE_MODE` to control data source preference. > - `ifind-only` (strict): Use iFind only, error if unavailable > - `ifind-fallback` (default): iFind preferred, fallback to AkShare > - `akshare-only`: Skip iFind, use AkShare only
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